Whilst it remains unclear how close we are to a collapse of the Euro, one thing is clear; predicting how the fallout would affect financial markets is no easy task, even for seasoned financial experts.
In pure mortgage terms, one set of products appears to be particularly risky in the current market; is any which tracks a variable rate as opposed to the Bank of England base rate. These include discounted rates, variable rates and Libor-linked or Libor-rate deals.
All of these products could be subject to increases if the Euro collapsed, even if the monetary policy committee of the Bank of England decides to keep interest rates low.
When the BOE base rate was reduced heavily in 2008, many lenders did not pass these cuts into their variable rates for some time; as doing so would have seriously jeopardised their ability to remain afloat.
Similarly, in the scenario of the collapse of the Euro and or the default of a nation such as Greece, Spain or Italy, this would undoubtedly cause a similar crisis in the banks leading to a drying up of money markets and upward pressure on banks’ variable rates.
Most discount-rate mortgages are offered by smaller building societies, which typically have a much lower risk exposure and would be better insulated against having to raise their variable rates significantly in a similar scenario. However, they are not immune to this risk.
More concerning, though, are Libor-linked deals; these are linked to the going rate of lending between UK banks and could rise a lot if we saw more market turmoil.
Even so, tracker deals could still be a risk; who knows how the different repercussions of this kind of event could ultimately play out?
So when looking at current products, comparing the difference between fixed and variable rates, in general, is well worth doing. I would take a pragmatic approach where the difference is minimal, as it seems likely that the last string of bailouts may yet prove to be the tip of the iceberg.
The Woolwich has responded to criticism around their stepped tracker rate, which, with a current headline rate of 1.98%, is one of the lowest rates available in the market.
I commented that the product was restricted to mortgages between £200K and £500K, severely limiting its market, when I announced the new rate here a couple of weeks ago. These restrictions have ceased as of today. The product is now available for loans between £5K and £1 Million.
Woolwich has not chosen to address the lengthy tie-in for five years with a 2% early repayment charge though, which could make the product very costly in the long term.
Instead, they have released a new lifetime tracker at the Bank of England Base Rate +2.29% with a £999 application fee available up to 70% loan to value, or at +2.69% with no fee again to 70% loan to value. The new products have early repayment charges of 1% for two years, making them much more favourable for some borrowers, but crucially both allow you to switch to a later fix without penalty if desired.
Both products would have a valuation fee of £295 for a purchase at 70% loan to value, with a mortgage of £100K and a lender Conveyancing fee of £126, giving an APR of 2.9% and 3.3%, respectively.
As usual, always read the separate Key Facts Illustration before deciding on a mortgage product, and to speak to a mortgage advisor, call 0345 4594490.
Think carefully before securing other debts against your home. Your home may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage or any other debt secured on it.
We do not usually charge a fee for mortgage advice, although you may pay up to 1.5% of the loan amount. Some buy-to-let and commercial loans are not regulated by the Financial Services Authority.
I wrote recently about the tough decision some people have about whether to fix their mortgage now; or wait on their standard variable rate, exposed to potential rises.
With today’s announcement that the Bank of England Base Rate will stay at 0.5%, the decision hasn’t got easier.
There is, however, a nifty product currently being offered by the Nationwide Building Society (one of the few lenders still vying for new business).
It allows you to take one of their current tracker products now and switch it to a fixed rate whenever you choose; without incurring early repayment charges.
Other providers have similar offerings; however, a key difference sets them apart.
The Nationwide will allow you to switch to a fixed rate based on the Loan-to-Value of the valuation taken when you arranged your tracker, which means that if house values continue to fall, you can still access new deals.
You will have to pay a second arrangement fee, however. And you will be restricted to the fixed rates available when you decide to change, which could be higher than those available now.
But if you are not sure which way to turn, this at least offers a get-out clause which typical tracker products will not.
